pdatanews310
event7 outcomes

Precipitation in Seattle in November?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Feb 8, 2027

As of 09:09 UTC on 31 Oct 2026, “5-5.75"” leads “Precipitation in Seattle in November?” on Polymarket at 45% (+33pp in 24h), followed by “4.5-5"” at 44% (+35pp in 24h) and “>7.75"” at 38% (+29pp in 24h), out of 7 outcomes. The event has $20 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
$20
vol 24h
$20
outcomes
7
ends
Feb 8, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 7
ScienceWeatherRecurringPrecipitation
marketselected outcome
5-5.75"
rank #1
United States
45¢
▲ 32.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$20
vol 24h
$20
spread
0.67
ends
Feb 8, 2027

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between November 1 and November 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for November 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of November 2026. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

timeline
opened · Oct 30, 2026opencloses · Feb 8, 2027
5-5.75" · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata