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event10 outcomes

What % of Anthropic will be sold in its IPO?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2028

As of 15:27 UTC on 4 Nov 2026, “4% to 5%” leads “What % of Anthropic will be sold in its IPO?” on Polymarket at 26% (-7pp in 24h), followed by “5% to 6%” at 24% (-5pp in 24h) and “<4%” at 23% (-10pp in 24h), out of 10 outcomes. The event has $2.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 17 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

vol cum
$4.8k
vol 24h
$2.6k
outcomes
10
ends
Jan 1, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
AIIPOIPOsDarioClaudeFinanceBig TechAnthropic
marketselected outcome
4% to 5%
rank #1
26¢
▼ 7.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$856
vol 24h
$548
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2028

This market will resolve according to the percentage of Anthropic's total outstanding shares sold in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The number of shares sold is defined as the total number of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold by Anthropic and shares sold by selling stockholders as part of the IPO offering will both be included. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be included in the number of shares sold. Total outstanding shares is defined as the number of shares of Class A common stock plus the number of shares of Class N common stock to be outstanding after the offering, each as stated in the section titled "The Offering" of the final prospectus, using the Class A figure that assumes no exercise of the overallotment option. The percentage will be calculated by dividing the number of shares sold by the total outstanding shares, without rounding. If the percentage falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Oct 30, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028
4% to 5% · prices over time
−24h
now
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no volume history

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