pdatanews266
event5 outcomes

Will Claude go down on __ days in November 2026?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Dec 1, 2026

As of 09:32 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, “5-7” leads “Will Claude go down on __ days in November 2026?” on Polymarket at 47% (+4pp in 24h), followed by “<5” at 33% (-3pp in 24h) and “8-10” at 16% (-1pp in 24h), out of 5 outcomes. The event has $865 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Gemini.

vol cum
$3.4k
vol 24h
$865
outcomes
5
ends
Dec 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
AITechClaudeoutageBig TechdowntimeAnthropicRecurring
marketselected outcome
5-7
rank #1
47¢
▲ 4.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.2k
vol 24h
$312
spread
0.01
ends
Dec 1, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of days in November 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).

timeline
opened · Nov 2, 2026opencloses · Dec 1, 2026
5-7 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata