event5 outcomes

Laurier—Sainte-Marie By-Election Winner

Polymarket·Politics·ends Dec 7, 2026

As of 11:44 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, “Guy Cormier” leads “Laurier—Sainte-Marie By-Election Winner” on Polymarket at 77% (+9pp in 24h), followed by “Other” at 50% and “Zumretay Arkin” at 19% (-1pp in 24h), out of 5 outcomes. The event has $1.2k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$1.3k

vol 24h

$1.2k

outcomes

ends

Dec 7, 2026

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CanadaPoliticsElectionsby electionMain ElectionGlobal Elections

marketselected outcome

Guy Cormier

rank #1

Canada

77¢

▲ 9.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$674

vol 24h

$669

spread

0.08

ends

Dec 7, 2026

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Laurier—Sainte-Marie is currently scheduled to be held on December 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).

timeline

opened · Nov 3, 2026opencloses · Dec 7, 2026

Guy Cormier · prices over time

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