As of 13:57 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, “Other” leads “Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner” on Polymarket at 50%, followed by “Michael Graber” at 27% (+8pp in 24h) and “Jean-Pierre Gallati” at 25% (+8pp in 24h), out of 9 outcomes. The event has $1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market.
If no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.