“1.50" or more” 96% (+63pp in 24h), “0.25 - 0.49"” 4% (-10pp in 24h) and “1.00 - 1.49"” 4% (-35pp in 24h) on Polymarket as of 11:16 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: “1.50" or more” leads “Precipitation in NYC November 12 to 15?” out of 5 outcomes. The event has $2.5k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 17 related events on Polymarket, Predict, Kalshi and Gemini.
Polymarket·Climate and Weather·ends Nov 17, 2026
event5 outcomes
vol cum
$3k
vol 24h
$2.5k
outcomes
5
ends
Nov 17, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
rainWeatherclimatePrecipitationWeather & Science
marketselected outcome
1.50" or more
rank #1
United States
96¢
▲ 63.4pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.1k
vol 24h
$2k
spread
0.08
ends
Nov 17, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York (KNYC) from November 12, 2026 through November 15, 2026 falls within that market's stated range. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The total is the sum of the PRECIPITATION (IN) "YESTERDAY" values, as shown in the "OBSERVED VALUE" column of the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), for each climate day (midnight to midnight local standard time), using the report issued after each climate day ends; same-day preliminary reports are excluded. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. If multiple versions of the report are issued for a climate day, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026 governs. Trace ("T") is 0.00 inches. A governing report that gives the figure as missing ("M" or "MM") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches. If no figure has been published for a climate day by that time, that day will count as 0.00 inches.
This market will resolve by 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026.
Resolution Source: NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), Central Park, NY.
