As of 00:55 UTC on 12 Nov 2026, “November 19” leads “When will Trump leave China?” on Polymarket at 84% (+34pp in 24h), followed by “November 20” at 12% (-37pp in 24h) and “November 18” at 3% (-47pp in 24h), out of 8 outcomes. The event has $6.7k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket, Limitless and Gemini.
vol cum
$6.7k
vol 24h
$6.7k
outcomes
8
ends
Nov 23, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
APECChinaTrumpPoliticsxi jinpingTrump-Xi Summit
marketselected outcome
November 19
rank #1
China
84¢
▲ 34.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.7k
vol 24h
$1.7k
spread
0.03
ends
Nov 20, 2026
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins a visit to China before November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After November 22”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by November 22”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
