What is the current probability for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden": Magdalena Andersson 94%, Ulf Kristersson 5%, Ebba Busch 1% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 13, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/166435. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

pasttrade on Polymarket

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event11 outcomes

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

·Elections·ends Sep 13, 2026

vol cum

$8.1M

vol 24h

$212k

outcomes

ends

Sep 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

ElectionsWorldWorld ElectionsGlobal ElectionsSwedenSwedishRewards 20, 4.5, 50Politics

marketselected outcome

Magdalena Andersson

rank #1

Sweden

94¢

▲ 6.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.9M

vol 24h

$88.7k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 13, 2026

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline

opened · Jan 19, 2026closedresolved · Sep 13, 2026

Magdalena Andersson · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history