U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
As of 10:40 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?” at 3%. The market has $30 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Limitless.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
