Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
As of 03:33 UTC on 10 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?” at 2%. The market has $11k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, Myriad and Limitless.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
