Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Polymarket·Crypto

As of 14:19 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Major CEX insolvent in 2026?” at 3%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Myriad, Manifold, Kalshi and Predict.

3%

vol cum

$136.1k

vol 24h

$0

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.