event14 outcomes

Iran leadership change by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jul 1, 2027

As of 20:44 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 14 markets in “Iran leadership change by...?” on Polymarket are “June 30, 2027” at 28% (+2pp in 24h), “December 31” at 13% and “November 30” at 7% (-1pp in 24h). The event has $169k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Opinion, Kalshi and Limitless.

vol cum

$28.8M

vol 24h

$169k

outcomes

ends

Jul 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 14

PoliticsIranIran RegimeGeopoliticsMojtabaayatollahKhameneiMojtaba Khamenei

marketselected outcome

June 30, 2027

rank #1

Iran

28¢

▲ 1.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$535.1k

vol 24h

$2.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline

opened · Jun 29, 2026opencloses · Jul 1, 2027

June 30, 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history