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US military draft authorized in 2026?

Polymarket·Politics
United States
6%
0.1pp
24h change
vol cum
$531k
vol 24h
$4.8k
spread
0.04
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes
No 94¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PoliticsTrumpIranU.S. x IranGeopoliticsconscriptselective service
timeline
opened · Mar 13, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
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