Question 1

What is the current probability for "Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?": Boston 99%, Charlotte 92%, Baltimore 90% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNGUARDCITY-26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?

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