What is the current probability for "Xi Jinping out before 2027?"?

"Yes" is currently 4% on Polymarket, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/30828. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

·Politics

China

▼ 0.4pp

24h change

vol cum

$13.5M

vol 24h

$112.4k

spread

0.00

ends

Jan 1, 2027

Yes 4¢

No 96¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

HFCGeopoliticsWorldworld affairsEarn 4%Macro Geopolitics

timeline

opened · Jul 3, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

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