What is the current probability for "Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?"?

"Yes" is currently 43% on Polymarket, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/389887. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?

·Culture

Canada

43%

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$116

vol 24h

spread

0.66

ends

Dec 31, 2026

Yes 43¢

No 57¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).

MamdaniZohranCulturePoliticsMusicmayorNew Yorknyc

timeline

opened · Apr 17, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026

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