What is the current probability for "Total crypto hack value in 2026?"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Total crypto hack value in 2026?" are >$1.2B 79%, >$1.5B 67%, >$2B 49% — 2 of 9 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/1/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/400690. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event9 outcomes

Total crypto hack value in 2026?

·Crypto·ends Jan 1, 2027

vol cum

$72.5k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026 If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.

CryptohackRewards 20, 4.5, 50protocol-risk

marketselected outcome

>$800M

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

vol cum

$55.6k

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.

timeline

opened · Apr 20, 2026closedresolved · May 1, 2026

>$800M · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history