Bitcoin $120K in 2026?

Manifold·Economy

As of 11:37 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Bitcoin $120K in 2026?” at 5% (-2pp in 24h). The market has M$1.1k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Predict, Polymarket and Opinion.

This market resolves to “Yes” if the BTC/USD spot price reaches or exceeds $120,000 at any time between January 1, 2026, 00:00 PT and December 31, 2026, 23:59 PT, based on Coinbase spot pricing. Primary source (API): https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/spot https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/historic?period=year Otherwise, the market resolves to “No.”