p|datav0.1news220
HomeMarketsHubsNews220MapMonitor
menu
HomeMarketsHubsNews220MapMonitor
theme
p|data·synced:Polymarket—Kalshi—Manifold—Predict—Myriad—Opinion—Limitless—Gemini—
hubsaboutmethodologyagentsdocsx© 2026
markets·Crypto
opentrade on Opinion ↗
marketsingle market

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Opinion·Crypto
7%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$25.1M
vol 24h
$3k
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 7¢
NO 92¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction between January 1st, 2026 00:00 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.

timeline
opened · Dec 29, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
prices over time · Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? highlighted
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Polymarketpolymarket↔ equiv
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
yes8¢▼ 0.1pp
$4.9k 24h · 1 market
Kalshikalshi↔ equiv
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
yes5¢▼ 2.0pp
$64 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Bitcoin $120K in 2026?
yes10¢▼ 0.2pp
M52 24h · 1 market
Myriadmyriad
Will Base TGE in 2026?
yes39¢▲ 8.3pp
$483 24h · 1 market
Limitlesslimitless
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
yes26¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Polymarketpolymarket
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
October20¢▼ 0.5ppApril18¢▼ 2.0ppNovember22¢▲ 3.0pp
+9 others
$280 24h · 12 markets