marketsingle market
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
7%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$25.1M
vol 24h
$3k
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 7¢
NO 92¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction between January 1st, 2026 00:00 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
timeline
opened · Dec 29, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027