Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin before 2027?

Kalshi·Crypto

As of 19:54 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin before 2027?” at 4%. The market has $23.9k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?” on Polymarket, priced at 3%. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Polymarket, Predict, Opinion, Manifold, Kalshi and Limitless.

If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.