marketsingle market
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
4%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$7M
vol 24h
$5
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 4¢
NO 75¢
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
timeline
opened · Dec 27, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027