Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
As of 19:46 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Opinion prices “Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?” at 5%. The market has $52 in Opinion-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?” on Polymarket, priced at 2%. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Predict and Limitless.
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
