Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?

Manifold·Crypto

As of 09:11 UTC on 14 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?” at 44%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Opinion.

44%

vol cum

M4.1k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2035

Must be known with high confidence, not just speculation or unfounded claims.