opentrade on
↗
event22 outcomes
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto
vol cum
M12.2k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
22
ends
Jul 7, 2030
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 22
Update 2026-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "someone who is currently dead" option will be resolved to N/A, as it conflicts with other answer options (e.g., Hal Finney, Len Sassaman) in this dependent-choice market.
doxxingbitcoincrypto-speculation
marketselected outcome
Other
rank #1
31¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M731
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jul 7, 2030
timeline
opened · Jul 8, 2022opencloses · Jul 7, 2030
Other · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Adam Back71¢· 0.0ppHal Finney2¢· 0.0ppNick Szabo2¢· 0.0pp
+3 others
M0 24h · 6 markets
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
yes97¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
yes4¢▼ 4.0pp
$6.2k 24h · 1 market
Bitcoin above … on September 14?
68,000—70,000—72,000—
+8 others
$0 24h · 11 markets
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
yes44¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
December 312¢· 0.0ppApril 300¢June 300¢
+1 others
$0 24h · 4 markets