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opentrade on Polymarket ↗
event9 outcomes

GPT-5.6 released by...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jul 31, 2026
vol cum
$1.1M
vol 24h
$21.3k
outcomes
9
ends
Jul 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
AIOpenAITechgpt
marketselected outcome
July 31
rank #1
94¢
▼ 2.2pp
24h change
vol cum
$223.5k
vol 24h
$1.8k
spread
0.01
ends
Jul 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Apr 28, 2026opencloses · Jul 31, 2026
prices over time · July 31 highlighted
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