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markets·Science and Technology
opentrade on Gemini ↗
event4 outcomes

GPT-6 released by...?

Gemini·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
vol cum
$2.5k
vol 24h
—
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →

GPT-6 released by...?

AI Models
marketselected outcome
December 31, 2026
rank #1
D
86¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
—
vol 24h
—
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting. Read the full terms & conditions.

timeline
opened · Mar 4, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
prices over time · December 31, 2026 highlighted
−24h
now
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