opentrade on 
↗
event7 outcomes
Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?
vol cum
M25.9k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
7
ends
Jan 1, 2030
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 7
Update 2025-08-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Multiple companies: If GPT-6 uses chips from multiple companies (including different phases like pretraining/posttraining), the market will resolve by allocating percentages to each company based on the creator’s best estimate of their share of total compute.
semiconductorsaiopenai
marketselected outcome
Nvidia
rank #1
76¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M2.3k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
timeline
opened · Jun 8, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
Nvidia · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdata
geminiGPT-6 released by...?
September 30, 202699¢December 31, 202699¢October 31, 202699¢
+4 others
$0 24h · 7 markets
opinionGPT-6 released by…?
Dec 31, 202657¢· 0.0ppJun 30, 202649¢Dec 31, 20250¢
+1 others
$12.9k 24h · 4 markets
polymarketGPT-7 released by...?
June 30, 202726¢· 0.0ppDecember 31, 202776¢· 0.0pp
$50 24h · 2 markets
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date
Before May 202799¢· 0.0ppBefore February 202799¢· 0.0ppBefore 202899¢· 0.0pp
+22 others
M0 24h · 25 markets
kalshiWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
OpenAI27¢▲ 4.0ppAnthropic65¢▼ 5.0ppxAI7¢· 0.0pp
+6 others
$703 24h · 9 markets
polymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
xAI5¢▲ 1.8ppOpenAI21¢▼ 2.5ppAnthropic65¢▲ 2.0pp
+23 others
$26.3k 24h · 26 markets