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event9 outcomes

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026

As of 21:29 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, “Anthropic” leads “Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?” on Kalshi at 75% (-2pp in 24h), followed by “OpenAI” at 17% (+4pp in 24h) and “Google” at 6% (+1pp in 24h), out of 9 outcomes. The event has $4.2k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Which company has best AI model end of 2026?” on Polymarket, an event with 26 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

vol cum
$1.2M
vol 24h
$4.2k
outcomes
9
ends
Dec 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
marketselected outcome
Anthropic
rank #1
75¢
▼ 2.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$278k
vol 24h
$407
spread
0.01
ends
Dec 31, 2026

If Anthropic has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jan 3, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
Anthropic · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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