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event18 outcomes

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 31, 2027

As of 03:08 UTC on 16 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 18 markets in “Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?” on Kalshi are “Alibaba” at 18% (+18pp in 24h), “DeepSeek” at 12% (+12pp in 24h) and “IBM” at 2% (+2pp in 24h). The event has $7.3k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum
$7.3k
vol 24h
$7.3k
outcomes
18
ends
Jan 31, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 18
marketselected outcome
Alibaba
rank #1
18¢
▲ 18.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.4k
vol 24h
$1.4k
spread
0.06
ends
Jan 31, 2027

If Alibaba has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 15, 2026opencloses · Jan 31, 2027
Alibaba · prices over time
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