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Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
vol cum
$124.5k
vol 24h
$314
outcomes
10
ends
Jan 1, 2027
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OpenAIAIxAIgoogleBig TechDeepSeekgptAnthropic
marketselected outcome
None in 2026
rank #1
82¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$26.2k
vol 24h
$20
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026". If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

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opened · Feb 13, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
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