Question 1

What is the current probability for "Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?": Claude 34%, ChatGPT 6%, Other 4% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/1/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXMODELHIGH-27-1550. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

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