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Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

“Gemini” 37% (-3pp in 24h), “Claude” 18% (+1pp in 24h) and “ChatGPT” 2% on Kalshi as of 14:40 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: “Gemini” leads “Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?” out of 8 outcomes. The event has $2.2k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?” on Opinion, an event with 3 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Opinion, Polymarket, Predict, Kalshi and Manifold.

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
event8 outcomes
vol cum
$254.7k
vol 24h
$2.2k
outcomes
8
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
marketselected outcome
Gemini
rank #1
37¢
▼ 3.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$60.1k
vol 24h
$123
spread
0.04
ends
Jan 1, 2027

If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Feb 10, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Gemini · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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