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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

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outcomes
7
ends
Jan 1, 2027
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TechAI
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↑ 1520
rank #1

99¢
▲ 49.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.23
ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
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opened · Aug 31, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
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