event7 outcomes

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Predict·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 06:40 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?” on Predict are “↑ 1520” at 100%, “↑ 1530” at 100% and “↑ 1540” at 47% (-1pp in 24h). The event has no Predict-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?” on Polymarket, an event with 9 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$1.4k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

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showing 5 of 7

TechAI

marketselected outcome

↑ 1520

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$697

vol 24h

spread

0.44

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

timeline

opened · Aug 31, 2026closedresolved · Jan 1, 2027

↑ 1520 · prices over time

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