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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026
vol cum
$97.1k
vol 24h
$682
outcomes
5
ends
Dec 31, 2026
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TechBig TechgoogleAI
marketselected outcome
↑ 1500
rank #1 · resolved: yes
100¢
vol cum
$33.8k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.00
ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
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opened · Jan 2, 2026closedresolved · Feb 10, 2026
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