event9 outcomes

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 14:11 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?” on Polymarket are “↑ 1500” at 100%, “↑ 1510” at 100% and “↑ 1520” at 100%. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?” on Predict, an event with 7 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Predict, Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$224.3k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

AI BenchmarksRecurringTechBig TechgoogleAI

marketselected outcome

↑ 1500

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

vol cum

$33.8k

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

timeline

opened · Jan 2, 2026closedresolved · Feb 10, 2026

↑ 1500 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history