event4 outcomes

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 03:17 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?” on Polymarket are “1525” at 100%, “1550” at 100% and “1575” at 42% (+4pp in 24h). The event has $235 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?” on Predict, an event with 2 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Predict, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum

$144.2k

vol 24h

$235

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

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Big TechAITechAI BenchmarksRecurring

marketselected outcome

1525

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

vol cum

$3.3k

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

timeline

opened · Apr 2, 2026closedresolved · May 21, 2026

1525 · prices over time

−24h

now

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