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Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

“Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?” lists 3 markets on Opinion, none with a current price as of 13:49 UTC on 14 Oct 2026. The event has no Opinion-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?” on Kalshi, an event with 8 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict, Manifold and Opinion.

Opinion·Business·ends Jan 1, 2027
event3 outcomes
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Gemini
rank #1
—
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
n/a
ends
—

Resolves Yes if a model by the company specified in the option is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control). Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

timeline
opened · Oct 14, 2026opencloses
Gemini · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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