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event25 outcomes

GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Nov 30, 2026
vol cum
M97.8k
vol 24h
M50
outcomes
25
ends
Nov 30, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 25

Minor changes to the name, such as 'GPT 6.1', or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 6, will count for the purpose of this market. The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution. See also: @8AyI5Np5yl @OchSUnInIq @cgl2IP0yIC (this market) @LU5RqqqEuA @2OzL6Q56y8 @IZO2UZgUNO @2CqdhIO9cU @AnL9Aqgzc5 @N0qR0nZl8O @AzzEpzA8ys @ntStglnQz0 @SCnZAUUzEP @y5CU6hUn6s @qyC5ychznC @RlI6hyuNpU @2Rh2t5hALp @NONz6Ntycp @l9lRst5288 @ORA9UAlgdI

aiai-model-releasesopenaichatgpttechnology-default
marketselected outcome
Before May 2027
rank #1
99¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M4.1k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 30, 2026
timeline
opened · Aug 7, 2025opencloses · Nov 30, 2026
Before May 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
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