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markets·Science and Technology
opentrade on Manifold ↗
event25 outcomes

GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Aug 7, 2026
G
vol cum
M39.5k
vol 24h
M177
outcomes
25
ends
Aug 7, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 25

Minor changes to the name, such as 'GPT 6.1', or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 6, will count for the purpose of this market. The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution. See also: @NU2IyqRq0u @LhlNpLyA2h @8AyI5Np5yl @OchSUnInIq @cgl2IP0yIC (this market) @cstO2OAIhZ @LU5RqqqEuA @t5Eh629zRE @2OzL6Q56y8 @IZO2UZgUNO @2CqdhIO9cU @6SLuEUSN2g

aiai-model-releasesopenaichatgpttechnology-default
marketselected outcome
Before 2028
rank #1
B
94¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M864
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Aug 7, 2026
timeline
opened · Aug 7, 2025opencloses · Aug 7, 2026
prices over time · Before 2028 highlighted
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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