opentrade on 
↗
↗event3 outcomes
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2030vol cum
$593.3k
vol 24h
$305
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 1, 2030
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before 2030
rank #1
39¢
▲ 0.2pp
24h change
vol cum
$153.1k
vol 24h
$11
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 1, 2030
If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Apr 4, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
Before 2030 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdata
polymarketOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
yes11¢▲ 0.5pp
$637 24h · 1 market
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
yes71¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
kalshiWhen will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Sep 1, 202630¢▼ 7.0ppBefore Oct 1, 202665¢▲ 1.0ppBefore Nov 1, 202681¢▲ 6.0pp
+5 others
$8.6k 24h · 8 markets
polymarketOpenAI acquired before 2027?
yes4¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
yes31¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
polymarketWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 202635¢· 0.0ppOctober 31, 202622¢· 0.0ppDecember 31, 20250¢
+1 others
$0 24h · 4 markets