When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2030

As of 16:09 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “When will OpenAI achieve AGI?” on Kalshi are “Before 2030” at 60% (-4pp in 24h), “Before 2028” at 44% and “Before 2027” at 4% (-1pp in 24h). The event has $239 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.