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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Polymarket·Science and Technology
As of 18:44 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?” at 10% (+1pp in 24h). The market has $1.1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

10%
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$333.6k
vol 24h
$1.1k
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 10¢
No 91¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
TechAISamllmchatgptartificial intelligenceOpenAIBig Tech
timeline
opened · Oct 28, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027