As of 00:35 UTC on 30 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 5% (+1pp in 24h) and “June 30” at 0%. The event has $5 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Predict and Kalshi.
vol cum
$120.8k
vol 24h
$5
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
GeopoliticsLebanonHezbollahIsraelMiddle East
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
United StatesLebanon
5¢
▲ 0.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$26.7k
vol 24h
$5
spread
0.04
ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
