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U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

vol cum
$119.5k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 1, 2027
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GeopoliticsLebanonHezbollahIsraelMiddle East
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
United StatesLebanon

7¢
▼ 1.8pp
24h change
vol cum
$25.4k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
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opened · Jun 30, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31 · prices over time
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