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event4 outcomes

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 07:40 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 28% (+1pp in 24h), “May 31” at 0% and “June 30” at 0%. The event has $60 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Gemini and Predict.

vol cum
$34.9k
vol 24h
$60
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
PoliticsMexicoExtraditecartel
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
Mexico
28¢
▲ 0.9pp
24h change
vol cum
$7.5k
vol 24h
$60
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinaloa Governor Ruben Rocha Moya is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Jul 29, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
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no volume history

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