What is the current probability for "Argentina Presidential Election Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Argentina Presidential Election Winner": Javier Milei 50%, Axel Kicillof 38%, Dante Gebel 7% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 10/24/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/435390. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event12 outcomes

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

·Politics·ends Oct 24, 2027

vol cum

$257.8k

vol 24h

$42k

outcomes

ends

Oct 24, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

PoliticsElectionsArgentinaArgentina ElectionmileiGlobal ElectionsMain Election

marketselected outcome

Axel Kicillof

rank #2

Argentina

38¢

▼ 5.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$34.1k

vol 24h

$6.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 24, 2027

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

timeline

opened · May 1, 2026opencloses · Oct 24, 2027

Axel Kicillof · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history