What is the current probability for "Another GTA VI trailer released by...?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?": August 31 85%, July 31 34%, June 15 0% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/527110. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event6 outcomes

Another GTA VI trailer released by...?

·Culture·ends Aug 31, 2026

vol cum

$91.1k

vol 24h

$67

outcomes

ends

Aug 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

GTA VIGamesCulture

marketselected outcome

August 31

rank #1

85¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.1k

vol 24h

spread

0.06

ends

Aug 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for GTA VI is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An "official trailer" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games. This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".

timeline

opened · Jun 29, 2026opencloses · Aug 31, 2026

August 31 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history