event16 outcomes

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 10:40 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 16 markets in “Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket are “Venezuela” at 10%, “Lebanon” at 8% (+1pp in 24h) and “Pakistan” at 6%. The event has $637 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$958.6k

vol 24h

$637

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

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SyriaYemenIsraelGeopoliticsMiddle East

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Venezuela

rank #1

VenezuelaIsrael

10¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$393.2k

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

timeline

opened · Jun 1, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

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