What is the current probability for "Anthropic IPO by __?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?": December 31, 2026 91%, October 31, 2026 83%, October 15, 2026 59% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/1/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/549019. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event7 outcomes

Anthropic IPO by __?

·Finance·ends Jul 1, 2027

vol cum

$2M

vol 24h

$31.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

FinanceIPOAnthropic IPOAnthropicIPOsDario

marketselected outcome

October 15, 2026

rank #3

59¢

▼ 3.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$18.1k

vol 24h

$5.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline

opened · Aug 19, 2026opencloses · Jul 1, 2027

October 15, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history