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event4 outcomes

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 20:41 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 54% (+2pp in 24h), “October 31” at 18% (-12pp in 24h) and “June 30” at 0%. The event has $64 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Predict, Gemini and Limitless.

vol cum
$31.7k
vol 24h
$64
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
BrazilPoliticslulaSupreme Court
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
Brazil
54¢
▲ 1.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$9k
vol 24h
$64
spread
0.06
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline
opened · Jun 3, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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