What is the current probability for "Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?": $100M 27%, $250M 21%, $500M 17% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/1/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/60491. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event6 outcomes

Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?

·Crypto·ends Jan 1, 2027

vol cum

$794.6k

vol 24h

$19.5k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

FDVCryptoPre-MarketToken Sales

marketselected outcome

$100M

rank #1

27¢

▼ 7.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$83.5k

vol 24h

$16.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

timeline

opened · May 26, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

$100M · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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