As of 23:33 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?” on Polymarket are “October 31” at 6%, “June 30” at 0% and “July 31” at 0%. The event has $2 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
vol cum
$39k
vol 24h
$2
outcomes
4
ends
Nov 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
CubaTrumpCastroPoliticsDiaz-CanelGeopolitics
marketselected outcome
October 31
rank #1
United StatesCuba
6¢
▼ 0.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$12.6k
vol 24h
$2
spread
0.04
ends
Nov 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
