event4 outcomes

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 18:24 UTC on 7 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 16%, “July 31” at 0% and “August 31” at 0%. The event has $4.2k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$527.3k

vol 24h

$4.2k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

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IranPoliticsGeopoliticsU.S. x IranNegotiation TopicsNuclearIran Nuclear Deal

marketselected outcome

December 31

rank #1

Iran

16¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$168.6k

vol 24h

$4.2k

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0.02

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Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline

opened · Jun 30, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

December 31 · prices over time

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