p|datav0.1news193
HomeMarketsHubsOddsNews193MapMonitor
menu
HomeMarketsHubsOddsNews193MapMonitor
theme
markets·Politics
opentrade on Polymarket ↗
event9 outcomes

What will Trump do on the 4th of July?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jul 4, 2026
vol cum
$426
vol 24h
$426
outcomes
9
ends
Jul 4, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9

Rules

TrumpJuly 44th of JulyPolitics
marketselected outcome
Insult Someone
rank #1
United States
I
86¢
▲ 39.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$130
vol 24h
$130
spread
0.01
ends
Jul 4, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on July 4 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Jun 30, 2026opencloses · Jul 4, 2026
Insult Someone · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Polymarketpolymarket
What will Trump say in July?
Affordable / Affordability94¢· 0.0ppSix Seven53¢▼ 18.0ppBest of Trump47¢· 0.0pp
+21 others
$111 24h · 24 markets
Kalshikalshi
Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)
At least 570¢▲ 2.0ppAt least 491¢· 0.0ppAt least 397¢· 0.0pp
+5 others
$34 24h · 8 markets
Manifoldmanifold
What will Trump do in his second term? (if he wins)
Pressure Ukraine to give land to Russia for peace100¢· 0.0ppAccidentally reveal classified Intel to the public 95¢· 0.0ppFire Jack Smith and/or otherwise end the Jack Smith prosecutions via the DOJ92¢· 0.0pp
+25 others
M0 24h · 28 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
What will Trump say during the Tribute to America Rally on July 4th?
Benjamin / Franklin81¢▲ 38.0ppMilitary79¢▲ 34.5ppHussein62¢▲ 18.5pp
+22 others
$1.6k 24h · 25 markets
Kalshikalshi
How will Trump reference himself before July?
Trump Airport1¢▼ 3.0ppTrump Arc / Arc de Trump2¢· 0.0ppTrump Dollar / Trump Bill2¢▼ 1.0pp
+11 others
$7.7k 24h · 14 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
Who will Trump speak to in July?
Ahmed al-Sharaa78¢▲ 8.5ppMaria Corina Machado18¢▲ 1.5ppMark Rutte99¢▲ 1.2pp
+19 others
$1.5k 24h · 22 markets
p|data·synced:Polymarket—Kalshi—Manifold—Predict—Myriad—Opinion—Limitless—Gemini—
hubsaboutmethodologyagentsdocsx© 2026