marketsingle market
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
United States

22%
▼ 28.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$292
vol 24h
$292
spread
0.01
ends
Dec 31, 2026
Yes 22¢
No 79¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
TeslaBig TechElon MuskTechAIBusiness
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opened · Jun 30, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026