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California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

Polymarket·Politics
United States

As of 18:23 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition” at 82% (+9pp in 24h). The market has $20 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

82%
▲ 9.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.3k
vol 24h
$20
spread
0.15
ends
Nov 4, 2026
Yes 82¢
No 19¢

Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would make permanent a temporary income tax (up to 12%) on high earners that voters approved in 2012, set to expire in 2031. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

PoliticsElectionsCaliforniareferendumdeprec USA ElectionCalifornia MidtermUS Election
timeline
opened · Jul 1, 2026opencloses · Nov 4, 2026
California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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